. >> good morning, i'm willie geist. i'm glad you're up with us this morning on watching on msnbc or listening live on sirius/xm radio. you can e-mail me or tweet me. let me know what you're doing up at this hour. or you can text the word awake followed by your response to 662629. the next 30 minutes, of course, will be the cram session for this thursday, october 11th. a lot to tell you about including another massachusetts senate debate between elizabeth warren and scott brown as that race remains tight in the bay state. plus, john stewart on the media obsession with polls. we'll show that you clip a little bit later in the show. first, let's get to the news live at 5:30 a.m. here at 30 rock in new york city and in john stewart's honor we begin with polls. new numbers released just moments ago for likely voters in three critical swing states n ohio, an nbc news/"wall street journal" poll shows president obama hanging on to a lead, 51-45. down in florida, it was a one point race before the debate. this morning, still a one-point lead for president obama within the margin of error.